
Opening CS2 cases is gambling – let’s be clear about that. But if you’re going to open cases, some offer better potential returns than others. Here’s the 2026 breakdown.
Important: Case opening has negative expected value. On average, you’ll lose money. If you want specific skins, buying them directly from our marketplace is always cheaper.
That said, here’s what you should know if you open cases anyway.
All cases have the same knife odds (~0.26%), but different knife types:
Only certain cases drop gloves (~0.26% chance):
👉 Budget Gloves Guide – Buy gloves directly instead!
| Rareté | Odds | Avg Pulls |
|---|---|---|
| Bleu (Mil-Spec) | 79.92% | 1 |
| Violet (Restreint) | 15.98% | 6 |
| Rose (Classé) | 3.2% | 31 |
| Rouge (Covert) | 0.64% | 156 |
| Or (Knife/Gloves) | 0.26% | 385 |
At ~€2.50 per opening (case + key), you’d spend ~€960 on average to get a knife. Most knives are worth less than that.
For the cost of 10 case openings (€25), you could buy:
10 skins of same rarity = 1 higher rarity skin. Can be profitable with research.
Caisses appreciate over time when they stop dropping. See our investing guide.